ETHval

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Liquidity Premium ETH fair value model

Fair value$3,551
ETH close$2,498
Gap to price+42.1%

Last complete day 2026-10-13 (UTC) · Built 2026-10-14 21:45 UTC from the stored daily data. Values are for 2026-10-13; the live value is on the dashboard.

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Formula

Price × √(Supply ÷ Liquid Float)

How it works

Applies a price premium based on the percentage of ETH committed to staking and DeFi protocols. Higher commitment ratios indicate stronger long-term holding conviction and reduced liquid supply. The multiplier (1.5x) reflects the value premium of committed vs. liquid assets. Inspired by the concept that L1 tokens should be valued as money (Store of Value) rather than stocks.

Limits: 1.5x premium multiplier for committed ETH is arbitrary without empirical basis

Constants

ConstantValueMeaning
LOST_ETH_PCT0.03Share of supply assumed lost

One-year history

$1,565$2,992$5,7202025-10-142026-10-13

Daily fair value (purple) vs ETH close (grey), 2025-10-14 – 2026-10-13.

References

Other models